Two complexes of thunderstorms in the Pacific but which one will lead to Barbara?

Newsportual Hurricane Center is monitoring a new area to watch in the eastern Pacific off the coast of Mexico. It has low chances of developing, but eyes remain on another area of low pressure that could form into Barbara.

Chances are increasing that Barbara will form in the eastern Pacific, but exactly how the next week will unfold is a bit complex and will feature two clusters of thunderstorms, competing to be the basin’s next named storms.

Newsportual Hurricane Center has highlighted a region closer to Mexico for having the greatest chance of a producing a tropical cyclone.

“An elongated trough of low pressure is located several hundred miles south of southern Mexico…Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend while the system moves generally west-northwestward,” the NHC stated during a recent update.

First area to watch in eastern Pacific
(FOX Weather)

But forecasters have added a second splotch of ocean to watch where a second area of low pressure may form on the western side of an elongated trough in a few days. NHC forecasters are now giving this regiona a medium chance of development.

First area to watch in eastern Pacific
(FOX Weather)

Tropical activity has been increasing in the basin since the start of the hurricane season on May 15. Tropical Storm Alvin formed and quickly dissipated last week.