On the second day of the 2025 hurricane season, the National Hurricane Center is tracking an area to watch with a low chance of developing over the next week. FOX Weather Hurricane Specialist Bryan Norcross explains what this “low chance” of development means for the Southeast U.S. and what weather ingredients are contributing to this area off the coast. 

Don’t miss our live Q&A with FOX Weather Hurricane Specialist Bryan Norcross tonight at 9 p.m. ET. Watch live on your favorite streaming platform or in the FOX Weather app.

MIAMI – Forecasters with the National Hurricane Center (NHC) are keeping their eyes on an area of disturbed weather off the southeastern coast of the U.S. for the potential of tropical development.

The FOX Forecast Center has been monitoring rain and thunderstorms moving across the Florida Peninsula, which are increasing the risk of flash flooding and bringing the threat of severe weather to the Sunshine State.

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Newsportual Hurricane Center has flagged an area of interest off the southeastern coast of the U.S.

(FOX Weather)

According to the NHC, the activity could also spawn areas of disturbed weather off the Southeast coast that could eventually take on tropical characteristics by the end of the week.

On Monday, the NHC flagged the area just off the coast, from Florida to North Carolina, for a low chance of development – 10% over the next week.

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This image shows details on potential tropical activity off the Southeast and mid-Atlantic coasts.

(FOX Weather)

NHC Director Michael Brennan, Ph.D., said that area is typically one of the most favorable locations for tropical formation during June.

“This is where we tend to see storms form in June, from the Gulf, across Florida, off the Southeast and mid-Atlantic coasts,” Brennan said on FOX Weather. “So, it’s a great reminder that typically in June, those storms do tend to form pretty close to home.”

Director of the National Hurricane Center Michael Brennan joins FOX Weather’s Stephen Morgan and Marissa Torres to discuss the early outlook for Atlantic hurricane season as it gets underway.

Brennan urged people to pay attention to the forecast and be prepared to act if a tropical system forms off the coast, either in the Gulf or the Atlantic.

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to Nov. 30.